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Real Oviedo crestReal OviedovsSevilla FC crestSevilla FC

Real Oviedo vs Sevilla FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaSun, 05 Apr 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Real Oviedo 10 Sevilla FC

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sevilla FC45%

Real Oviedo 29%
Draw 25%
Sevilla FC 45%
  • Real Oviedo 29%
  • Draw 25%
  • Sevilla FC 45%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Sevilla FC, rating it at 45.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Real Oviedo won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Real Oviedo: LWDDL

Sevilla FC: WWDLW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-05Real Oviedo vs Sevilla FC1–0
2025-12-14Sevilla FC vs Real Oviedo4–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Real Oviedo vs Sevilla FC?
Tofiko's model favours Sevilla FC (45% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Real Oviedo vs Sevilla FC kick off?
Sun, 05 Apr 2026 16:30 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Real Oviedo vs Sevilla FC head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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