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Real Oviedo crestReal OviedovsValencia CF crestValencia CF

Real Oviedo vs Valencia CF Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaSat, 14 Mar 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Real Oviedo 10 Valencia CF

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Valencia CF46%

Real Oviedo 28%
Draw 26%
Valencia CF 46%
  • Real Oviedo 28%
  • Draw 26%
  • Valencia CF 46%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Valencia CF, rating it at 45.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Real Oviedo won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Real Oviedo: LWDDL

Valencia CF: DWLWL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-14Real Oviedo vs Valencia CF1–0
2025-09-30Valencia CF vs Real Oviedo1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Real Oviedo vs Valencia CF?
Tofiko's model favours Valencia CF (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Real Oviedo vs Valencia CF kick off?
Sat, 14 Mar 2026 17:30 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Real Oviedo vs Valencia CF head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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