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Real Oviedo crestReal OviedovsVillarreal CF crestVillarreal CF

Real Oviedo vs Villarreal CF Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaThu, 23 Apr 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Real Oviedo 11 Villarreal CF

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Villarreal CF57%

Real Oviedo 21%
Draw 22%
Villarreal CF 57%
  • Real Oviedo 21%
  • Draw 22%
  • Villarreal CF 57%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Villarreal CF, rating it at 57.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Real Oviedo won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Real Oviedo: LWDDL

Villarreal CF: LDWWL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-23Real Oviedo vs Villarreal CF1–1
2025-08-15Villarreal CF vs Real Oviedo2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Real Oviedo vs Villarreal CF?
Tofiko's model favours Villarreal CF (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Real Oviedo vs Villarreal CF kick off?
Thu, 23 Apr 2026 19:30 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Real Oviedo vs Villarreal CF head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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