Rayo Vallecano crestRayo VallecanovsFC Barcelona crestFC Barcelona

Rayo Vallecano vs FC Barcelona Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 21 Mar 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Barcelona63%

Tofiko14% / 23% / 63%
  • Rayo Vallecano
  • Draw
  • FC Barcelona

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick FC Barcelona, rating it at 62.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. FC Barcelona's last 5 produced 30 goals — 6.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Rayo Vallecano's 5 produced 22, at 4.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • FC Barcelona's games are very high-scoring at 6.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 179 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL

FC Barcelona: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 179 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.30Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-31FC Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano5–2
2026-03-22FC Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano1–0
2025-08-31Rayo Vallecano vs FC Barcelona1–1
2025-02-17FC Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano1–0
2024-08-27Rayo Vallecano vs FC Barcelona1–2
2024-05-19Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano3–0
2023-11-25Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona1–1
2023-04-26Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona2–1
2022-08-13Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano0–0
2022-04-24Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano0–1

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FAQ

Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs FC Barcelona?
Tofiko's model favours FC Barcelona (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Rayo Vallecano vs FC Barcelona kick off?
Sun, 21 Mar 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Rayo Vallecano vs FC Barcelona head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legBarcelona 5-2 Rayo Vallecano31 Aug 2026 →