Rayo Vallecanovs
FC BarcelonaRayo Vallecano vs FC Barcelona Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 21 Mar 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Barcelona to win63%
1X2: model backs FC Barcelona at 63%.
- Rayo Vallecano
- Draw
- FC Barcelona
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Rayo Vallecano or draw37%
- Draw or FC Barcelona86%
- Rayo Vallecano or FC Barcelona77%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.552%
- Under 2.548%
Both teams to score
- Rayo Vallecano, last 10 home games5 of 10
- FC Barcelona, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Barcelona, rating it at 62.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. FC Barcelona's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Rayo Vallecano's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- FC Barcelona's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 159 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Rayo Vallecano: DDWLW
FC Barcelona: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 159 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.30Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | FC Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano | 5–2 |
| 2026-03-22 | FC Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Rayo Vallecano vs FC Barcelona | 1–1 |
| 2025-02-17 | FC Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
| 2024-08-27 | Rayo Vallecano vs FC Barcelona | 1–2 |
| 2024-05-19 | Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano | 3–0 |
| 2023-11-25 | Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona | 1–1 |
| 2023-04-26 | Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona | 2–1 |
| 2022-08-13 | Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–0 |
| 2022-04-24 | Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs FC Barcelona?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Barcelona (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rayo Vallecano vs FC Barcelona kick off?
- Sun, 21 Mar 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Rayo Vallecano vs FC Barcelona head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.