FC Barcelona crestFC BarcelonavsRayo Vallecano crestRayo Vallecano

FC Barcelona 5-2 Rayo Vallecano — Result, H2H & Form

La LigaMon, 31 Aug 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Barcelona73%

Tofiko73% / 18% / 9%
Market90% / 7% / 3%
  • FC Barcelona
  • Draw
  • Rayo Vallecano

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Barcelona, rating it at 72.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and FC Barcelona won 4 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. FC Barcelona's last 5 produced 30 goals — 6.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Rayo Vallecano's 5 produced 22, at 4.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • FC Barcelona's games are very high-scoring at 6.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

FC Barcelona: WWWWW

Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.30Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-31FC Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano5–2
2026-03-22FC Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano1–0
2025-08-31Rayo Vallecano vs FC Barcelona1–1
2025-02-17FC Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano1–0
2024-08-27Rayo Vallecano vs FC Barcelona1–2
2024-05-19Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano3–0
2023-11-25Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona1–1
2023-04-26Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona2–1
2022-08-13Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano0–0
2022-04-24Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano?
Tofiko's model favours FC Barcelona (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
Mon, 31 Aug 2026 19:30 GMT — La Liga.
What is the FC Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureRayo Vallecano vs Barcelona21 Mar 2027 →