Rayo Vallecanovs
FC BarcelonaRayo Vallecano vs FC Barcelona Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 21 Mar 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Barcelona63%
- Rayo Vallecano 14%
- Draw 23%
- FC Barcelona 63%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Barcelona, rating it at 62.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Barcelona's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 201 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Rayo Vallecano: LDLLW
FC Barcelona: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 201 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.30Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | FC Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano | 5–2 |
| 2026-03-22 | FC Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Rayo Vallecano vs FC Barcelona | 1–1 |
| 2025-02-17 | FC Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
| 2024-08-27 | Rayo Vallecano vs FC Barcelona | 1–2 |
| 2024-05-19 | Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano | 3–0 |
| 2023-11-25 | Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona | 1–1 |
| 2023-04-26 | Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona | 2–1 |
| 2022-08-13 | Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–0 |
| 2022-04-24 | Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs FC Barcelona?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Barcelona (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rayo Vallecano vs FC Barcelona kick off?
- Sun, 21 Mar 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Rayo Vallecano vs FC Barcelona head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.