Rayo Vallecano crestRayo VallecanovsRCD Espanyol crestRCD Espanyol

Rayo Vallecano 2-1 RCD Espanyol — Result, H2H & Form

La LigaTue, 15 Sep 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Rayo Vallecano47%

Tofiko47% / 26% / 27%
Market42% / 28% / 30%
  • Rayo Vallecano
  • Draw
  • RCD Espanyol

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 47.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 9 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 5 of 9. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. RCD Espanyol's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026.

Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL

RCD Espanyol: LLWDL

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026.

  • 9Games
  • 2.11Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 44%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-15Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Espanyol2–1
2026-04-23Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Espanyol1–0
2025-12-07RCD Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano1–0
2025-04-04Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Espanyol0–4
2024-08-31RCD Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano2–1
2023-05-21Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol1–2
2022-08-19Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano0–2
2022-04-21Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano0–1
2021-12-05Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Espanyol?
Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Espanyol kick off?
Tue, 15 Sep 2026 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Espanyol head-to-head record?
In their last 9 meetings: 5 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.11 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureEspanyol vs Rayo Vallecano7 Feb 2027 →