Rayo Vallecano vs Girona FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaMon, 11 May 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Girona FC
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rayo Vallecano39%
- Rayo Vallecano 39%
- Draw 31%
- Girona FC 31%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 38.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 2 of 8, with 4 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Rayo Vallecano: WDLLW
Girona FC: LDLWD
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.88Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Rayo Vallecano vs Girona FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-15 | Girona FC vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–3 |
| 2025-01-26 | Rayo Vallecano vs Girona FC | 2–1 |
| 2024-09-25 | Girona FC vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–0 |
| 2024-02-26 | Girona vs Rayo Vallecano | 3–0 |
| 2023-11-11 | Rayo Vallecano vs Girona | 1–2 |
| 2023-03-18 | Rayo Vallecano vs Girona | 2–2 |
| 2022-12-29 | Girona vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Girona FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Girona FC kick off?
- Mon, 11 May 2026 19:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Girona FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.88 goals per game.