?
Rayo Vallecano crestRayo VallecanovsGirona FC crestGirona FC

Rayo Vallecano vs Girona FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaMon, 11 May 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Rayo Vallecano 11 Girona FC

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Rayo Vallecano39%

Rayo Vallecano 39%
Draw 31%
Girona FC 31%
  • Rayo Vallecano 39%
  • Draw 31%
  • Girona FC 31%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 38.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 2 of 8, with 4 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Rayo Vallecano: WDLLW

Girona FC: LDLWD

Head-to-head

  • 8Games
  • 2.88Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-11Rayo Vallecano vs Girona FC1–1
2025-08-15Girona FC vs Rayo Vallecano1–3
2025-01-26Rayo Vallecano vs Girona FC2–1
2024-09-25Girona FC vs Rayo Vallecano0–0
2024-02-26Girona vs Rayo Vallecano3–0
2023-11-11Rayo Vallecano vs Girona1–2
2023-03-18Rayo Vallecano vs Girona2–2
2022-12-29Girona vs Rayo Vallecano2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Girona FC?
Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Girona FC kick off?
Mon, 11 May 2026 19:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Girona FC head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.88 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.