Rayo Vallecano crestRayo VallecanovsCA Osasuna crestCA Osasuna

Rayo Vallecano vs CA Osasuna Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 07 Mar 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Rayo Vallecano44%

Tofiko44% / 35% / 21%
  • Rayo Vallecano
  • Draw
  • CA Osasuna

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Rayo Vallecano or draw79%
  • Draw or CA Osasuna56%
  • Rayo Vallecano or CA Osasuna65%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.535%
  • Under 2.565%

Both teams to score

  • Rayo Vallecano, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • CA Osasuna, last 10 away games8 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 43.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • CA Osasuna's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 145 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Rayo Vallecano: DDWLW

CA Osasuna: LDLLL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 145 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.70Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-19CA Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano1–1
2026-01-24Rayo Vallecano vs CA Osasuna1–3
2025-09-14CA Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano2–0
2025-01-19CA Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano1–1
2024-09-16Rayo Vallecano vs CA Osasuna3–1
2024-04-20Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna2–1
2023-12-15Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano1–0
2023-04-14Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna2–1
2022-09-04Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano2–1
2022-02-12Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna0–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs CA Osasuna?
Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (44% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Rayo Vallecano vs CA Osasuna kick off?
Sun, 07 Mar 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Rayo Vallecano vs CA Osasuna head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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