CA Osasuna crestCA OsasunavsRayo Vallecano crestRayo Vallecano

CA Osasuna 1-1 Rayo Vallecano — Result, H2H & Form

La LigaSat, 19 Sep 2026 12:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs CA Osasuna41%

Tofiko41% / 27% / 32%
Market36% / 29% / 36%
  • CA Osasuna
  • Draw
  • Rayo Vallecano

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick CA Osasuna, rating it at 41.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and CA Osasuna won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026.

CA Osasuna: DLLLW

Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.70Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-19CA Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano1–1
2026-01-24Rayo Vallecano vs CA Osasuna1–3
2025-09-14CA Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano2–0
2025-01-19CA Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano1–1
2024-09-16Rayo Vallecano vs CA Osasuna3–1
2024-04-20Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna2–1
2023-12-15Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano1–0
2023-04-14Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna2–1
2022-09-04Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano2–1
2022-02-12Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna0–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win CA Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
Tofiko's model favours CA Osasuna (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does CA Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 12:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the CA Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureRayo Vallecano vs Osasuna7 Mar 2027 →