CA Osasunavs
Rayo VallecanoCA Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSat, 19 Sep 2026 12:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs CA Osasuna36%
- CA Osasuna 36%
- Draw 35%
- Rayo Vallecano 29%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks CA Osasuna, rating it at 35.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and CA Osasuna won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. CA Osasuna's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
CA Osasuna: WWWDL
Rayo Vallecano: LDLLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Rayo Vallecano vs CA Osasuna | 1–3 |
| 2025-09-14 | CA Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–0 |
| 2025-01-19 | CA Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–1 |
| 2024-09-16 | Rayo Vallecano vs CA Osasuna | 3–1 |
| 2024-04-20 | Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna | 2–1 |
| 2023-12-15 | Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
| 2023-04-14 | Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna | 2–1 |
| 2022-09-04 | Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2022-02-12 | Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna | 0–3 |
| 2021-10-02 | Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win CA Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
- Tofiko's model favours CA Osasuna (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does CA Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 12:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the CA Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.