Rayo Vallecano crestRayo VallecanovsSevilla FC crestSevilla FC

Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 17 Jan 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Rayo Vallecano40%

  • Rayo Vallecano 40%
  • Draw 34%
  • Sevilla FC 26%

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 40.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 1 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 138 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Rayo Vallecano: LDLLW

Sevilla FC: LWWLW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 138 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.10Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 30%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-15Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano2–1
2026-03-08Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano1–1
2025-09-28Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC0–1
2025-03-01Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC1–1
2024-11-24Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano1–0
2024-02-05Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla1–2
2023-10-07Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano2–2
2023-02-19Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla1–1
2022-10-29Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano0–1
2022-03-13Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC?
Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC kick off?
Sun, 17 Jan 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 5 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.

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