Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 17 Jan 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rayo Vallecano40%
- Rayo Vallecano
- Draw
- Sevilla FC
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 40.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 1 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Sevilla FC's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 116 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL
Sevilla FC: LWWDL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 116 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.10Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC | 0–1 |
| 2025-03-01 | Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-11-24 | Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
| 2024-02-05 | Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla | 1–2 |
| 2023-10-07 | Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–2 |
| 2023-02-19 | Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-29 | Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–1 |
| 2022-03-13 | Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC kick off?
- Sun, 17 Jan 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 5 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.