Rayo Vallecano crestRayo VallecanovsSevilla FC crestSevilla FC

Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 17 Jan 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Rayo Vallecano40%

Tofiko40% / 34% / 26%
  • Rayo Vallecano
  • Draw
  • Sevilla FC

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Rayo Vallecano or draw74%
  • Draw or Sevilla FC60%
  • Rayo Vallecano or Sevilla FC66%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.538%
  • Under 2.562%

Both teams to score

  • Rayo Vallecano, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • Sevilla FC, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 40.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 1 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 96 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Rayo Vallecano: DDWLW

Sevilla FC: DLLWW

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 96 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.10Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 30%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-15Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano2–1
2026-03-08Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano1–1
2025-09-28Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC0–1
2025-03-01Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC1–1
2024-11-24Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano1–0
2024-02-05Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla1–2
2023-10-07Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano2–2
2023-02-19Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla1–1
2022-10-29Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano0–1
2022-03-13Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC?
Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC kick off?
Sun, 17 Jan 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 5 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legSevilla 2-1 Rayo Vallecano15 Aug 2026 →