Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 17 Jan 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rayo Vallecano40%
- Rayo Vallecano 40%
- Draw 34%
- Sevilla FC 26%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 40.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 1 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 138 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Rayo Vallecano: LDLLW
Sevilla FC: LWWLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 138 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.10Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC | 0–1 |
| 2025-03-01 | Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-11-24 | Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
| 2024-02-05 | Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla | 1–2 |
| 2023-10-07 | Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–2 |
| 2023-02-19 | Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-29 | Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–1 |
| 2022-03-13 | Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC kick off?
- Sun, 17 Jan 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 5 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.