Rayo Vallecano crestRayo VallecanovsSevilla FC crestSevilla FC

Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 17 Jan 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Rayo Vallecano40%

Tofiko40% / 34% / 26%
  • Rayo Vallecano
  • Draw
  • Sevilla FC

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

Track this pick — follow it in My Picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 40.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 1 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Sevilla FC's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 116 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL

Sevilla FC: LWWDL

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 116 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.10Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 30%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-15Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano2–1
2026-03-08Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano1–1
2025-09-28Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC0–1
2025-03-01Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC1–1
2024-11-24Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano1–0
2024-02-05Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla1–2
2023-10-07Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano2–2
2023-02-19Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla1–1
2022-10-29Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano0–1
2022-03-13Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC?
Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC kick off?
Sun, 17 Jan 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 5 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legSevilla 2-1 Rayo Vallecano15 Aug 2026 →