Real Madrid CFvs
Atletico MadridReal Madrid CF vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 04 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Real Madrid CF to win55%
1X2: model backs Real Madrid CF at 55%.
- Real Madrid CF
- Draw
- Atletico Madrid
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Real Madrid CF or draw83%
- Draw or Atletico Madrid45%
- Real Madrid CF or Atletico Madrid72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.551%
- Under 2.549%
Both teams to score
- Real Madrid CF, last 10 home games7 of 10
- Atletico Madrid, last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 54.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Real Madrid CF won 1 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 173 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Real Madrid CF: WLWWW
Atletico Madrid: WWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 173 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 90%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid CF | 2–1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Real Madrid CF vs Atletico Madrid | 3–2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid CF | 5–2 |
| 2025-02-08 | Real Madrid CF vs Atletico Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2024-09-29 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid CF | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-04 | Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2023-09-24 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid | 3–1 |
| 2023-02-25 | Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2022-09-18 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2022-05-08 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Real Madrid CF vs Atletico Madrid?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Madrid CF vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
- Sun, 04 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Madrid CF vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.