Atletico Madridvs
Real Madrid CFAtletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid CF — Result, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 20 Sep 2026 14:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Madrid CF40%
Tofiko36% / 24% / 40%
Market27% / 25% / 48%
- Atletico Madrid
- Draw
- Real Madrid CF
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 39.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Atletico Madrid won 4 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 21 Sep 2026.
Atletico Madrid: WWWLL
Real Madrid CF: LWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 21 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 90%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid CF | 2–1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Real Madrid CF vs Atletico Madrid | 3–2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid CF | 5–2 |
| 2025-02-08 | Real Madrid CF vs Atletico Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2024-09-29 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid CF | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-04 | Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2023-09-24 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid | 3–1 |
| 2023-02-25 | Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2022-09-18 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2022-05-08 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid CF kick off?
- Sun, 20 Sep 2026 14:15 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.