Atletico Madridvs
Real Madrid CFAtletico Madrid vs Real Madrid CF Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 20 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Madrid CF39%
- Atletico Madrid 31%
- Draw 31%
- Real Madrid CF 39%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 38.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Atletico Madrid won 3 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Atletico Madrid: LWLWW
Real Madrid CF: DWWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Real Madrid CF vs Atletico Madrid | 3–2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid CF | 5–2 |
| 2025-02-08 | Real Madrid CF vs Atletico Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2024-09-29 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid CF | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-04 | Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2023-09-24 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid | 3–1 |
| 2023-02-25 | Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2022-09-18 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2022-05-08 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid | 1–0 |
| 2021-12-12 | Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid CF kick off?
- Sun, 20 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.