Real Madrid CF crestReal Madrid CFvsElche CF crestElche CF

Real Madrid CF vs Elche CF Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaWed, 21 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Real Madrid CF to win76%

1X2: model backs Real Madrid CF at 76%.

Tofiko76% / 16% / 7%
  • Real Madrid CF
  • Draw
  • Elche CF

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Real Madrid CF or draw93%
  • Draw or Elche CF24%
  • Real Madrid CF or Elche CF84%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.562%
  • Under 2.538%

Both teams to score

  • Real Madrid CF, last 10 home games7 of 10
  • Elche CF, last 10 away games9 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 76.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 9 times, and Real Madrid CF won 2 of 9, with 3 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 190 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Real Madrid CF: WLWWW

Elche CF: DWLDL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 190 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 9Games
  • 3.67Avg goals
  • 78%Both scored
  • 89%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-15Elche CF vs Real Madrid CF2–3
2026-03-14Real Madrid CF vs Elche CF4–1
2025-11-23Elche CF vs Real Madrid CF2–2
2023-02-15Real Madrid vs Elche4–0
2022-10-19Elche vs Real Madrid0–3
2022-01-23Real Madrid vs Elche2–2
2021-10-30Elche vs Real Madrid1–2
2021-03-13Real Madrid vs Elche2–1
2020-12-30Elche vs Real Madrid1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Real Madrid CF vs Elche CF?
Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Real Madrid CF vs Elche CF kick off?
Wed, 21 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Real Madrid CF vs Elche CF head-to-head record?
In their last 9 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legElche 2-3 Real Madrid15 Sept 2026 →