Elche CFvs
Real Madrid CFElche CF vs Real Madrid CF Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaWed, 16 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Madrid CF68%
- Elche CF 11%
- Draw 20%
- Real Madrid CF 68%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 68.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Elche CF won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 20.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Elche CF: WDDDW
Real Madrid CF: DWWWW
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 88%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Real Madrid CF vs Elche CF | 4–1 |
| 2025-11-23 | Elche CF vs Real Madrid CF | 2–2 |
| 2023-02-15 | Real Madrid vs Elche | 4–0 |
| 2022-10-19 | Elche vs Real Madrid | 0–3 |
| 2022-01-23 | Real Madrid vs Elche | 2–2 |
| 2021-10-30 | Elche vs Real Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2021-03-13 | Real Madrid vs Elche | 2–1 |
| 2020-12-30 | Elche vs Real Madrid | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Elche CF vs Real Madrid CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Elche CF vs Real Madrid CF kick off?
- Wed, 16 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Elche CF vs Real Madrid CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.