Real Madrid CF vs Girona FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaFri, 10 Apr 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Real Madrid CF 1–1 Girona FC
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Madrid CF71%
- Real Madrid CF 71%
- Draw 18%
- Girona FC 11%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 71.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Real Madrid CF won 2 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 18.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Real Madrid CF: DWWWW
Girona FC: LDLWD
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Real Madrid CF vs Girona FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Girona FC vs Real Madrid CF | 1–1 |
| 2025-02-23 | Real Madrid CF vs Girona FC | 2–0 |
| 2024-12-07 | Girona FC vs Real Madrid CF | 0–3 |
| 2024-02-10 | Real Madrid vs Girona | 4–0 |
| 2023-09-30 | Girona vs Real Madrid | 0–3 |
| 2023-04-25 | Girona vs Real Madrid | 4–2 |
| 2022-10-30 | Real Madrid vs Girona | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Real Madrid CF vs Girona FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Madrid CF vs Girona FC kick off?
- Fri, 10 Apr 2026 19:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Madrid CF vs Girona FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.