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Real Madrid CF crestReal Madrid CFvsGirona FC crestGirona FC

Real Madrid CF vs Girona FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaFri, 10 Apr 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Real Madrid CF 11 Girona FC

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Real Madrid CF71%

Real Madrid CF 71%
Draw 18%
Girona FC 11%
  • Real Madrid CF 71%
  • Draw 18%
  • Girona FC 11%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 71.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Real Madrid CF won 2 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 18.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Real Madrid CF: DWWWW

Girona FC: LDLWD

Head-to-head

  • 8Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-10Real Madrid CF vs Girona FC1–1
2025-11-30Girona FC vs Real Madrid CF1–1
2025-02-23Real Madrid CF vs Girona FC2–0
2024-12-07Girona FC vs Real Madrid CF0–3
2024-02-10Real Madrid vs Girona4–0
2023-09-30Girona vs Real Madrid0–3
2023-04-25Girona vs Real Madrid4–2
2022-10-30Real Madrid vs Girona1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Real Madrid CF vs Girona FC?
Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Real Madrid CF vs Girona FC kick off?
Fri, 10 Apr 2026 19:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Real Madrid CF vs Girona FC head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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