Real Sociedad crestReal SociedadvsMalaga CF crestMalaga CF

Real Sociedad vs Malaga CF Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 24 Jan 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Real Sociedad to win50%

1X2: model backs Real Sociedad at 50%.

Tofiko50% / 29% / 21%
  • Real Sociedad
  • Draw
  • Malaga CF

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Real Sociedad or draw79%
  • Draw or Malaga CF50%
  • Real Sociedad or Malaga CF71%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.545%
  • Under 2.555%

Both teams to score

  • Real Sociedad, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • Malaga CF, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Real Sociedad, rating it at 50.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

They arrive from very different football. Real Sociedad's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Malaga CF's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 103 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Real Sociedad: WLWLL

Malaga CF: DLLDD

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Real Sociedad vs Malaga CF?
Tofiko's model favours Real Sociedad (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Real Sociedad vs Malaga CF kick off?
Sun, 24 Jan 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureMalaga vs Real Sociedad18 Oct 2026 →