Real Sociedadvs
Real OviedoReal Sociedad vs Real Oviedo Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSat, 21 Feb 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Real Sociedad 3–3 Real Oviedo
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Sociedad65%
- Real Sociedad 65%
- Draw 22%
- Real Oviedo 13%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Sociedad, rating it at 64.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Real Sociedad won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 64.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Real Sociedad: LWWDL
Real Oviedo: LWDDL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Real Sociedad vs Real Oviedo | 3–3 |
| 2025-08-30 | Real Oviedo vs Real Sociedad | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Real Sociedad vs Real Oviedo?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Sociedad (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Sociedad vs Real Oviedo kick off?
- Sat, 21 Feb 2026 13:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Sociedad vs Real Oviedo head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.