Real Sociedad crestReal SociedadvsReal Madrid CF crestReal Madrid CF

Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid CF Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 07 Feb 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Real Madrid CF to win55%

1X2: model backs Real Madrid CF at 55%.

Tofiko17% / 28% / 55%
  • Real Sociedad
  • Draw
  • Real Madrid CF

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Real Sociedad or draw45%
  • Draw or Real Madrid CF83%
  • Real Sociedad or Real Madrid CF72%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.547%
  • Under 2.553%

Both teams to score

  • Real Sociedad, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • Real Madrid CF, last 10 away games4 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 55.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Real Sociedad won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 117 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Real Sociedad: WLWLL

Real Madrid CF: WLWWW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 117 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.80Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-26Real Madrid CF vs Real Sociedad4–1
2026-02-14Real Madrid CF vs Real Sociedad4–1
2025-09-13Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid CF1–2
2025-05-24Real Madrid CF vs Real Sociedad2–0
2024-09-14Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid CF0–2
2024-04-26Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid0–1
2023-09-17Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad2–1
2023-05-02Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid2–0
2023-01-29Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad0–0
2022-03-05Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad4–1

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FAQ

Who will win Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid CF?
Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid CF kick off?
Sun, 07 Feb 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid CF head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legReal Madrid 4-1 Real Sociedad26 Aug 2026 →