Real Madrid CF crestReal Madrid CFvsReal Sociedad crestReal Sociedad

Real Madrid CF 4-1 Real Sociedad — Result, H2H & Form

La LigaWed, 26 Aug 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Real Madrid CF66%

Tofiko66% / 21% / 12%
Market83% / 11% / 6%
  • Real Madrid CF
  • Draw
  • Real Sociedad

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 66.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Real Madrid CF won 5 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

Real Madrid CF: LWWWL

Real Sociedad: WLLWD

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.80Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-26Real Madrid CF vs Real Sociedad4–1
2026-02-14Real Madrid CF vs Real Sociedad4–1
2025-09-13Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid CF1–2
2025-05-24Real Madrid CF vs Real Sociedad2–0
2024-09-14Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid CF0–2
2024-04-26Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid0–1
2023-09-17Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad2–1
2023-05-02Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid2–0
2023-01-29Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad0–0
2022-03-05Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad4–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Real Madrid CF vs Real Sociedad?
Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Real Madrid CF vs Real Sociedad kick off?
Wed, 26 Aug 2026 19:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Real Madrid CF vs Real Sociedad head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureReal Sociedad vs Real Madrid7 Feb 2027 →