Real Madrid CFvs
Real SociedadReal Madrid CF vs Real Sociedad Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaWed, 26 Aug 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Madrid CF66%
- Real Madrid CF 66%
- Draw 23%
- Real Sociedad 10%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 66.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Real Madrid CF won 4 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Real Madrid CF: DWWWW
Real Sociedad: LWWDL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Real Madrid CF vs Real Sociedad | 4–1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid CF | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-24 | Real Madrid CF vs Real Sociedad | 2–0 |
| 2024-09-14 | Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid CF | 0–2 |
| 2024-04-26 | Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid | 0–1 |
| 2023-09-17 | Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad | 2–1 |
| 2023-05-02 | Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid | 2–0 |
| 2023-01-29 | Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad | 0–0 |
| 2022-03-05 | Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad | 4–1 |
| 2021-12-04 | Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Real Madrid CF vs Real Sociedad?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Madrid CF vs Real Sociedad kick off?
- Wed, 26 Aug 2026 19:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Madrid CF vs Real Sociedad head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.