Sevilla FC crestSevilla FCvsAthletic Bilbao crestAthletic Bilbao

Sevilla FC vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 31 Jan 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sevilla FC36%

Tofiko36% / 34% / 30%
  • Sevilla FC
  • Draw
  • Athletic Bilbao

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Sevilla FC or draw70%
  • Draw or Athletic Bilbao64%
  • Sevilla FC or Athletic Bilbao66%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.540%
  • Under 2.560%

Both teams to score

  • Sevilla FC, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • Athletic Bilbao, last 10 away games2 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Sevilla FC, rating it at 36.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Sevilla FC won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Sevilla FC's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Athletic Bilbao's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 110 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Sevilla FC: DLLWW

Athletic Bilbao: DWDDW

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 110 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.30Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 30%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-22Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla FC1–3
2026-01-24Sevilla FC vs Athletic Bilbao2–1
2025-08-17Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla FC3–2
2025-03-16Sevilla FC vs Athletic Bilbao0–1
2024-09-29Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla FC1–1
2024-05-19Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla2–0
2024-01-04Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao0–2
2023-04-27Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla0–1
2022-10-08Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao1–1
2022-05-22Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Sevilla FC vs Athletic Bilbao?
Tofiko's model favours Sevilla FC (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Sevilla FC vs Athletic Bilbao kick off?
Sun, 31 Jan 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Sevilla FC vs Athletic Bilbao head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legAthletic Club 1-3 Sevilla22 Aug 2026 →