Athletic Bilbaovs
Sevilla FCAthletic Bilbao vs Sevilla FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSat, 22 Aug 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Athletic Bilbao47%
- Athletic Bilbao 47%
- Draw 32%
- Sevilla FC 21%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 47.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Athletic Bilbao won 4 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Athletic Bilbao's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 1. Sevilla FC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Athletic Bilbao's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Athletic Bilbao: WWDWW
Sevilla FC: WWWDL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 20%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Sevilla FC vs Athletic Bilbao | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-17 | Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla FC | 3–2 |
| 2025-03-16 | Sevilla FC vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–1 |
| 2024-09-29 | Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-05-19 | Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla | 2–0 |
| 2024-01-04 | Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–2 |
| 2023-04-27 | Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla | 0–1 |
| 2022-10-08 | Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–1 |
| 2022-05-22 | Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–0 |
| 2021-12-11 | Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla FC kick off?
- Sat, 22 Aug 2026 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.