Sevilla FCvs
FC BarcelonaSevilla FC vs FC Barcelona Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 20 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Barcelona62%
- Sevilla FC 14%
- Draw 24%
- FC Barcelona 62%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Barcelona, rating it at 62.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Sevilla FC won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. FC Barcelona's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Sevilla FC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Sevilla FC: WWDLW
FC Barcelona: DWLWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.60Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | FC Barcelona vs Sevilla FC | 5–2 |
| 2025-10-05 | Sevilla FC vs FC Barcelona | 4–1 |
| 2025-02-09 | Sevilla FC vs FC Barcelona | 1–4 |
| 2024-10-20 | FC Barcelona vs Sevilla FC | 5–1 |
| 2024-05-26 | Sevilla vs Barcelona | 1–2 |
| 2023-09-29 | Barcelona vs Sevilla | 1–0 |
| 2023-02-05 | Barcelona vs Sevilla | 3–0 |
| 2022-09-03 | Sevilla vs Barcelona | 0–3 |
| 2022-04-03 | Barcelona vs Sevilla | 1–0 |
| 2021-12-21 | Sevilla vs Barcelona | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Sevilla FC vs FC Barcelona?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Barcelona (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sevilla FC vs FC Barcelona kick off?
- Sun, 20 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Sevilla FC vs FC Barcelona head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.60 goals per game.