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Sevilla FC crestSevilla FCvsGirona FC crestGirona FC

Sevilla FC vs Girona FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaSun, 08 Feb 2026 15:15 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Sevilla FC 11 Girona FC

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sevilla FC43%

Sevilla FC 43%
Draw 23%
Girona FC 33%
  • Sevilla FC 43%
  • Draw 23%
  • Girona FC 33%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Sevilla FC, rating it at 43.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Sevilla FC won 2 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. Girona FC's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Sevilla FC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

The model puts the draw at 23.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Sevilla FC: WWDLW

Girona FC: LDLWD

Head-to-head

  • 8Games
  • 2.88Avg goals
  • 63%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-08Sevilla FC vs Girona FC1–1
2025-08-30Girona FC vs Sevilla FC0–2
2025-01-18Girona FC vs Sevilla FC1–2
2024-09-01Sevilla FC vs Girona FC0–2
2024-01-21Girona vs Sevilla5–1
2023-08-26Sevilla vs Girona1–2
2023-05-01Sevilla vs Girona0–2
2023-01-14Girona vs Sevilla2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Sevilla FC vs Girona FC?
Tofiko's model favours Sevilla FC (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sevilla FC vs Girona FC kick off?
Sun, 08 Feb 2026 15:15 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Sevilla FC vs Girona FC head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.88 goals per game.

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