Valencia CF crestValencia CFvsFC Barcelona crestFC Barcelona

Valencia CF 0-5 FC Barcelona — Result, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 06 Sep 2026 14:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Barcelona62%

  • Valencia CF 18%
  • Draw 21%
  • FC Barcelona 62%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Barcelona, rating it at 61.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Valencia CF won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. FC Barcelona's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Valencia CF's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

The model puts the draw at 20.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • FC Barcelona's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 9 Sep 2026.

Valencia CF: LLLDW

FC Barcelona: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 9 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 4.10Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-06Valencia CF vs FC Barcelona0–5
2026-05-23Valencia CF vs FC Barcelona3–1
2025-09-14FC Barcelona vs Valencia CF6–0
2025-01-26FC Barcelona vs Valencia CF7–1
2024-08-17Valencia CF vs FC Barcelona1–2
2024-04-29Barcelona vs Valencia CF4–2
2023-12-16Valencia CF vs Barcelona1–1
2023-03-05Barcelona vs Valencia CF1–0
2022-10-29Valencia CF vs Barcelona0–1
2022-02-20Valencia CF vs Barcelona1–4

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Valencia CF vs FC Barcelona?
Tofiko's model favours FC Barcelona (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Valencia CF vs FC Barcelona kick off?
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 14:15 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Valencia CF vs FC Barcelona head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 4.10 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureBarcelona vs Valencia31 Jan 2027 →