Valencia CF vs Girona FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSat, 25 Apr 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Valencia CF 2–1 Girona FC
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Valencia CF41%
- Valencia CF 41%
- Draw 24%
- Girona FC 35%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Valencia CF, rating it at 40.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Valencia CF won 3 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Valencia CF: DWLWL
Girona FC: LDLWD
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.38Avg goals
- 63%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Valencia CF vs Girona FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Girona FC vs Valencia CF | 2–1 |
| 2025-03-15 | Girona FC vs Valencia CF | 1–1 |
| 2024-09-21 | Valencia CF vs Girona FC | 2–0 |
| 2024-05-19 | Valencia CF vs Girona | 1–3 |
| 2023-12-02 | Girona vs Valencia CF | 2–1 |
| 2023-02-05 | Girona vs Valencia CF | 1–0 |
| 2022-08-14 | Valencia CF vs Girona | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Valencia CF vs Girona FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Valencia CF (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Valencia CF vs Girona FC kick off?
- Sat, 25 Apr 2026 16:30 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Valencia CF vs Girona FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.38 goals per game.