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Valencia CF crestValencia CFvsGirona FC crestGirona FC

Valencia CF vs Girona FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaSat, 25 Apr 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Valencia CF 21 Girona FC

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Valencia CF41%

Valencia CF 41%
Draw 24%
Girona FC 35%
  • Valencia CF 41%
  • Draw 24%
  • Girona FC 35%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Valencia CF, rating it at 40.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Valencia CF won 3 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 23.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Valencia CF: DWLWL

Girona FC: LDLWD

Head-to-head

  • 8Games
  • 2.38Avg goals
  • 63%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-25Valencia CF vs Girona FC2–1
2025-10-04Girona FC vs Valencia CF2–1
2025-03-15Girona FC vs Valencia CF1–1
2024-09-21Valencia CF vs Girona FC2–0
2024-05-19Valencia CF vs Girona1–3
2023-12-02Girona vs Valencia CF2–1
2023-02-05Girona vs Valencia CF1–0
2022-08-14Valencia CF vs Girona1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Valencia CF vs Girona FC?
Tofiko's model favours Valencia CF (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Valencia CF vs Girona FC kick off?
Sat, 25 Apr 2026 16:30 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Valencia CF vs Girona FC head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.38 goals per game.

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