Villarreal CF crestVillarreal CFvsDeportivo Alaves crestDeportivo Alaves

Villarreal CF vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 17 Jan 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Villarreal CF to win66%

1X2: model backs Villarreal CF at 66%.

Tofiko66% / 22% / 12%
  • Villarreal CF
  • Draw
  • Deportivo Alaves

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Villarreal CF or draw88%
  • Draw or Deportivo Alaves34%
  • Villarreal CF or Deportivo Alaves78%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.556%
  • Under 2.544%

Both teams to score

  • Villarreal CF, last 10 home games9 of 10
  • Deportivo Alaves, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Villarreal CF, rating it at 65.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Villarreal CF won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 96 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Villarreal CF: WLWWL

Deportivo Alaves: LDLLW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 96 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.80Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-28Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal CF1–0
2026-03-13Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal CF1–1
2026-01-10Villarreal CF vs Deportivo Alaves3–1
2025-03-08Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal CF1–0
2024-11-09Villarreal CF vs Deportivo Alaves3–0
2024-02-10Alaves vs Villarreal1–1
2023-10-22Villarreal vs Alaves1–1
2022-04-30Alaves vs Villarreal2–1
2021-12-21Villarreal vs Alaves5–2
2021-04-21Alaves vs Villarreal2–1

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FAQ

Who will win Villarreal CF vs Deportivo Alaves?
Tofiko's model favours Villarreal CF (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Villarreal CF vs Deportivo Alaves kick off?
Sun, 17 Jan 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Villarreal CF vs Deportivo Alaves head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legAlaves 1-0 Villarreal28 Aug 2026 →