Villarreal CFvs
Deportivo AlavesVillarreal CF vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 17 Jan 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Villarreal CF66%
- Villarreal CF 66%
- Draw 22%
- Deportivo Alaves 12%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Villarreal CF, rating it at 65.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Villarreal CF won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 138 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Villarreal CF: LDDWW
Deportivo Alaves: WDWDW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 138 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal CF | 1–0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal CF | 1–1 |
| 2026-01-10 | Villarreal CF vs Deportivo Alaves | 3–1 |
| 2025-03-08 | Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal CF | 1–0 |
| 2024-11-09 | Villarreal CF vs Deportivo Alaves | 3–0 |
| 2024-02-10 | Alaves vs Villarreal | 1–1 |
| 2023-10-22 | Villarreal vs Alaves | 1–1 |
| 2022-04-30 | Alaves vs Villarreal | 2–1 |
| 2021-12-21 | Villarreal vs Alaves | 5–2 |
| 2021-04-21 | Alaves vs Villarreal | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Villarreal CF vs Deportivo Alaves?
- Tofiko's model favours Villarreal CF (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Villarreal CF vs Deportivo Alaves kick off?
- Sun, 17 Jan 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Villarreal CF vs Deportivo Alaves head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.