Deportivo Alaves crestDeportivo AlavesvsVillarreal CF crestVillarreal CF

Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Villarreal CF — Result, H2H & Form

La LigaFri, 28 Aug 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Villarreal CF49%

Tofiko28% / 23% / 49%
Market31% / 27% / 42%
  • Deportivo Alaves
  • Draw
  • Villarreal CF

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Villarreal CF, rating it at 49.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Deportivo Alaves won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Villarreal CF's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Deportivo Alaves's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Villarreal CF's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

Deportivo Alaves: DLLWW

Villarreal CF: WWLLL

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.80Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-28Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal CF1–0
2026-03-13Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal CF1–1
2026-01-10Villarreal CF vs Deportivo Alaves3–1
2025-03-08Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal CF1–0
2024-11-09Villarreal CF vs Deportivo Alaves3–0
2024-02-10Alaves vs Villarreal1–1
2023-10-22Villarreal vs Alaves1–1
2022-04-30Alaves vs Villarreal2–1
2021-12-21Villarreal vs Alaves5–2
2021-04-21Alaves vs Villarreal2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal CF?
Tofiko's model favours Villarreal CF (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal CF kick off?
Fri, 28 Aug 2026 19:30 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal CF head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureVillarreal vs Alaves17 Jan 2027 →