Villarreal CF crestVillarreal CFvsAtletico Madrid crestAtletico Madrid

Villarreal CF vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaWed, 21 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Villarreal CF38%

Tofiko38% / 29% / 34%
  • Villarreal CF
  • Draw
  • Atletico Madrid

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Villarreal CF or draw66%
  • Draw or Atletico Madrid62%
  • Villarreal CF or Atletico Madrid71%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.557%
  • Under 2.543%

Both teams to score

  • Villarreal CF, last 10 home games9 of 10
  • Atletico Madrid, last 10 away games8 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Villarreal CF, rating it at 37.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Villarreal CF won 1 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 189 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Villarreal CF: WLWWL

Atletico Madrid: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 189 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 80%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-23Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal CF2–2
2026-05-24Villarreal CF vs Atletico Madrid5–1
2025-09-13Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal CF2–0
2025-01-25Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal CF1–1
2024-08-19Villarreal CF vs Atletico Madrid2–2
2024-04-01Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid1–2
2023-11-12Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal3–1
2023-06-04Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid2–2
2022-08-21Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal0–2
2022-01-09Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Villarreal CF vs Atletico Madrid?
Tofiko's model favours Villarreal CF (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Villarreal CF vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
Wed, 21 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Villarreal CF vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 5 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legAtletico Madrid 2-2 Villarreal23 Aug 2026 →