Atletico Madridvs
Villarreal CFAtletico Madrid vs Villarreal CF Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 23 Aug 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atletico Madrid53%
- Atletico Madrid 53%
- Draw 26%
- Villarreal CF 21%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 52.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Atletico Madrid won 3 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Atletico Madrid: LWLWW
Villarreal CF: WLDWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Villarreal CF vs Atletico Madrid | 5–1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal CF | 2–0 |
| 2025-01-25 | Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal CF | 1–1 |
| 2024-08-19 | Villarreal CF vs Atletico Madrid | 2–2 |
| 2024-04-01 | Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2023-11-12 | Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal | 3–1 |
| 2023-06-04 | Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid | 2–2 |
| 2022-08-21 | Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal | 0–2 |
| 2022-01-09 | Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid | 2–2 |
| 2021-08-29 | Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal CF kick off?
- Sun, 23 Aug 2026 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 5 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.