Atletico Madridvs
Villarreal CFAtletico Madrid 2-2 Villarreal CF — Result, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 23 Aug 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atletico Madrid52%
Tofiko52% / 22% / 25%
Market54% / 24% / 22%
- Atletico Madrid
- Draw
- Villarreal CF
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 52.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Atletico Madrid won 3 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Villarreal CF's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026.
Atletico Madrid: WWWLL
Villarreal CF: WWLLL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal CF | 2–2 |
| 2026-05-24 | Villarreal CF vs Atletico Madrid | 5–1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal CF | 2–0 |
| 2025-01-25 | Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal CF | 1–1 |
| 2024-08-19 | Villarreal CF vs Atletico Madrid | 2–2 |
| 2024-04-01 | Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2023-11-12 | Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal | 3–1 |
| 2023-06-04 | Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid | 2–2 |
| 2022-08-21 | Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal | 0–2 |
| 2022-01-09 | Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal CF kick off?
- Sun, 23 Aug 2026 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 5 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.