Villarreal CFvs
Real Madrid CFVillarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 07 Mar 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Real Madrid CF or draw74%
1X2: model backs Real Madrid CF at 48% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Villarreal CF
- Draw
- Real Madrid CF
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Villarreal CF or draw52%
- Draw or Real Madrid CF74%
- Villarreal CF or Real Madrid CF73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.559%
- Under 2.541%
Both teams to score
- Villarreal CF, last 10 home games9 of 10
- Real Madrid CF, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 47.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Villarreal CF won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 145 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Villarreal CF: WLWWL
Real Madrid CF: WLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 145 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF | 1–0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF | 0–2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF | 3–1 |
| 2025-03-15 | Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF | 1–2 |
| 2024-10-05 | Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF | 2–0 |
| 2024-05-19 | Villarreal vs Real Madrid | 4–4 |
| 2023-12-17 | Real Madrid vs Villarreal | 4–1 |
| 2023-04-08 | Real Madrid vs Villarreal | 2–3 |
| 2023-01-07 | Villarreal vs Real Madrid | 2–1 |
| 2022-02-12 | Villarreal vs Real Madrid | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF kick off?
- Sun, 07 Mar 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.