Angers SCOvs
Olympique de MarseilleAngers SCO vs Olympique de Marseille Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 17 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Olympique de Marseille57%
- Angers SCO 18%
- Draw 25%
- Olympique de Marseille 57%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Olympique de Marseille, rating it at 56.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Angers SCO won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Angers SCO: LWWDD
Olympique de Marseille: WLWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.70Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Angers SCO vs Olympique de Marseille | 2–5 |
| 2025-10-29 | Olympique de Marseille vs Angers SCO | 2–2 |
| 2025-02-09 | Angers SCO vs Olympique de Marseille | 0–2 |
| 2024-10-04 | Olympique de Marseille vs Angers SCO | 1–1 |
| 2023-05-14 | Marseille vs Angers SCO | 3–1 |
| 2022-09-30 | Angers SCO vs Marseille | 0–3 |
| 2022-02-04 | Marseille vs Angers SCO | 5–2 |
| 2021-09-22 | Angers SCO vs Marseille | 0–0 |
| 2021-05-16 | Marseille vs Angers SCO | 3–2 |
| 2020-12-23 | Angers SCO vs Marseille | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Angers SCO vs Olympique de Marseille?
- Tofiko's model favours Olympique de Marseille (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Angers SCO vs Olympique de Marseille kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Angers SCO vs Olympique de Marseille head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.