Le Havre AC vs AJ Auxerre Prediction, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sun, 18 Oct 2026 15:15 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Le Havre AC or draw67%
1X2: model backs Le Havre AC at 41% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Le Havre AC
- Draw
- AJ Auxerre
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Le Havre AC or draw67%
- Draw or AJ Auxerre59%
- Le Havre AC or AJ Auxerre74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.543%
- Under 2.557%
Both teams to score
- Le Havre AC, last 10 home games6 of 10
- AJ Auxerre, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Le Havre AC, rating it at 41.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Le Havre AC won 3 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- AJ Auxerre's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Le Havre AC: LWLDL
AJ Auxerre: LWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Le Havre AC vs AJ Auxerre | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-26 | AJ Auxerre vs Le Havre AC | 0–1 |
| 2025-05-04 | AJ Auxerre vs Le Havre AC | 1–2 |
| 2024-09-01 | Le Havre AC vs AJ Auxerre | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Le Havre AC vs AJ Auxerre?
- Tofiko's model favours Le Havre AC (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Le Havre AC vs AJ Auxerre kick off?
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 15:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Le Havre AC vs AJ Auxerre head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.