Le Mans crestLe MansvsToulouse FC crestToulouse FC

Le Mans vs Toulouse FC Prediction, H2H & Form

Ligue 1Fri, 16 Oct 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Le Mans or draw67%

1X2: model backs Le Mans at 43% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko43% / 24% / 33%
Market33% / 26% / 41%
  • Le Mans
  • Draw
  • Toulouse FC

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Le Mans or draw67%
  • Draw or Toulouse FC57%
  • Le Mans or Toulouse FC76%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.555%
  • Under 2.545%

Both teams to score

  • Le Mans, last 10 home games7 of 10
  • Toulouse FC, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%
  • Bookmakers, margin removed (7 books)Yes 59% · No 41%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Le Mans, rating it at 43.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Recent form

As of 15 Oct 2026.

Le Mans: LLWDD

Toulouse FC: DLWDL

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Le Mans vs Toulouse FC?
Tofiko's model favours Le Mans (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Le Mans vs Toulouse FC kick off?
Fri, 16 Oct 2026 18:45 GMT — Ligue 1.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureToulouse vs Le Mans6 Mar 2027 →