FC Lorientvs
AS Monaco FCFC Lorient vs AS Monaco FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 17 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Monaco FC50%
- FC Lorient 25%
- Draw 25%
- AS Monaco FC 50%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Monaco FC, rating it at 50.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Lorient won 3 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AS Monaco FC's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. FC Lorient's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Monaco FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Lorient: WWWLW
AS Monaco FC: DLWLL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.60Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | AS Monaco FC vs FC Lorient | 1–3 |
| 2025-09-27 | FC Lorient vs AS Monaco FC | 3–1 |
| 2024-03-17 | AS Monaco vs FC Lorient | 2–2 |
| 2023-09-17 | FC Lorient vs AS Monaco | 2–2 |
| 2023-04-16 | AS Monaco vs FC Lorient | 3–1 |
| 2023-01-11 | FC Lorient vs AS Monaco | 2–2 |
| 2022-02-13 | AS Monaco vs FC Lorient | 0–0 |
| 2021-08-13 | FC Lorient vs AS Monaco | 1–0 |
| 2021-02-14 | AS Monaco vs FC Lorient | 2–2 |
| 2021-01-06 | FC Lorient vs AS Monaco | 2–5 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Lorient vs AS Monaco FC?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Monaco FC (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Lorient vs AS Monaco FC kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the FC Lorient vs AS Monaco FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 5 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.60 goals per game.