FC Lorientvs
AS Monaco FCFC Lorient vs AS Monaco FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sun, 18 Oct 2026 15:15 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
AS Monaco FC or draw72%
1X2: model backs AS Monaco FC at 50% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- FC Lorient
- Draw
- AS Monaco FC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- FC Lorient or draw50%
- Draw or AS Monaco FC72%
- FC Lorient or AS Monaco FC78%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.561%
- Under 2.539%
Both teams to score
- FC Lorient, last 10 home games6 of 10
- AS Monaco FC, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Monaco FC, rating it at 49.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Lorient won 3 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026.
FC Lorient: WLDWL
AS Monaco FC: DWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.60Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | AS Monaco FC vs FC Lorient | 1–3 |
| 2025-09-27 | FC Lorient vs AS Monaco FC | 3–1 |
| 2024-03-17 | AS Monaco vs FC Lorient | 2–2 |
| 2023-09-17 | FC Lorient vs AS Monaco | 2–2 |
| 2023-04-16 | AS Monaco vs FC Lorient | 3–1 |
| 2023-01-11 | FC Lorient vs AS Monaco | 2–2 |
| 2022-02-13 | AS Monaco vs FC Lorient | 0–0 |
| 2021-08-13 | FC Lorient vs AS Monaco | 1–0 |
| 2021-02-14 | AS Monaco vs FC Lorient | 2–2 |
| 2021-01-06 | FC Lorient vs AS Monaco | 2–5 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Lorient vs AS Monaco FC?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Monaco FC (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Lorient vs AS Monaco FC kick off?
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 15:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the FC Lorient vs AS Monaco FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 5 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.60 goals per game.