Olympique Lyonnais vs OGC Nice Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 17 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Olympique Lyonnais53%
- Olympique Lyonnais 53%
- Draw 28%
- OGC Nice 19%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Olympique Lyonnais, rating it at 52.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Olympique Lyonnais won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Olympique Lyonnais's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Olympique Lyonnais: LWLWW
OGC Nice: LLWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Olympique Lyonnais vs OGC Nice | 2–0 |
| 2025-10-18 | OGC Nice vs Olympique Lyonnais | 3–2 |
| 2025-03-09 | OGC Nice vs Olympique Lyonnais | 0–2 |
| 2024-12-01 | Olympique Lyonnais vs OGC Nice | 4–1 |
| 2024-02-16 | Lyonnais vs OGC Nice | 1–0 |
| 2023-08-27 | OGC Nice vs Lyonnais | 0–0 |
| 2023-06-03 | OGC Nice vs Lyonnais | 3–1 |
| 2022-11-11 | Lyonnais vs OGC Nice | 1–1 |
| 2022-02-12 | Lyonnais vs OGC Nice | 2–0 |
| 2021-10-24 | OGC Nice vs Lyonnais | 3–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Olympique Lyonnais vs OGC Nice?
- Tofiko's model favours Olympique Lyonnais (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Olympique Lyonnais vs OGC Nice kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Olympique Lyonnais vs OGC Nice head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.