ES Troyes ACvs
RC LensES Troyes AC vs RC Lens Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 17 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RC Lens61%
- ES Troyes AC 14%
- Draw 25%
- RC Lens 61%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick RC Lens, rating it at 61.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and ES Troyes AC won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 61.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
ES Troyes AC: WWWWL
RC Lens: WDWDW
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-28 | ESTAC Troyes vs RC Lens | 1–1 |
| 2022-09-09 | RC Lens vs ESTAC Troyes | 1–0 |
| 2022-05-14 | ESTAC Troyes vs RC Lens | 1–3 |
| 2021-11-05 | RC Lens vs ESTAC Troyes | 4–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win ES Troyes AC vs RC Lens?
- Tofiko's model favours RC Lens (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does ES Troyes AC vs RC Lens kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the ES Troyes AC vs RC Lens head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.