ES Troyes ACvs
RC LensES Troyes AC vs RC Lens Prediction, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sat, 17 Oct 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
RC Lens to win57%
1X2: model backs RC Lens at 57%.
- ES Troyes AC
- Draw
- RC Lens
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- ES Troyes AC or draw43%
- Draw or RC Lens80%
- ES Troyes AC or RC Lens77%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.551%
- Under 2.549%
Both teams to score
- ES Troyes AC, last 10 home games5 of 10
- RC Lens, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick RC Lens, rating it at 57.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and ES Troyes AC won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026.
ES Troyes AC: LDLLL
RC Lens: LWWLD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-28 | ESTAC Troyes vs RC Lens | 1–1 |
| 2022-09-09 | RC Lens vs ESTAC Troyes | 1–0 |
| 2022-05-14 | ESTAC Troyes vs RC Lens | 1–3 |
| 2021-11-05 | RC Lens vs ESTAC Troyes | 4–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win ES Troyes AC vs RC Lens?
- Tofiko's model favours RC Lens (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does ES Troyes AC vs RC Lens kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 18:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the ES Troyes AC vs RC Lens head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.