ES Troyes AC vs Olympique de Marseille Prediction, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sun, 11 Oct 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Olympique de Marseille62%
Tofiko14% / 23% / 62%
- ES Troyes AC
- Draw
- Olympique de Marseille
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Olympique de Marseille, rating it at 62.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and ES Troyes AC won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 19 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
ES Troyes AC: LLLWD
Olympique de Marseille: LLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 19 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-16 | Marseille vs ESTAC Troyes | 3–1 |
| 2023-01-11 | ESTAC Troyes vs Marseille | 0–2 |
| 2022-02-27 | ESTAC Troyes vs Marseille | 1–1 |
| 2021-11-28 | Marseille vs ESTAC Troyes | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win ES Troyes AC vs Olympique de Marseille?
- Tofiko's model favours Olympique de Marseille (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does ES Troyes AC vs Olympique de Marseille kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 18:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the ES Troyes AC vs Olympique de Marseille head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.