ES Troyes AC vs RC Strasbourg Alsace Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sun, 06 Sep 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RC Strasbourg Alsace54%
- ES Troyes AC 19%
- Draw 27%
- RC Strasbourg Alsace 54%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick RC Strasbourg Alsace, rating it at 53.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and ES Troyes AC won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. RC Strasbourg Alsace's last 5 produced 32 goals — 6.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. ES Troyes AC's 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- RC Strasbourg Alsace's games are very high-scoring at 6.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
ES Troyes AC: WWWWL
RC Strasbourg Alsace: LLLLW
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-21 | ESTAC Troyes vs Strasbourg | 1–1 |
| 2023-01-02 | Strasbourg vs ESTAC Troyes | 2–3 |
| 2022-04-17 | ESTAC Troyes vs Strasbourg | 1–1 |
| 2021-08-22 | Strasbourg vs ESTAC Troyes | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win ES Troyes AC vs RC Strasbourg Alsace?
- Tofiko's model favours RC Strasbourg Alsace (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does ES Troyes AC vs RC Strasbourg Alsace kick off?
- Sun, 06 Sep 2026 13:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the ES Troyes AC vs RC Strasbourg Alsace head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.