RC Lensvs
FC LorientRC Lens 0-1 FC Lorient — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sat, 05 Sep 2026 15:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RC Lens63%
- RC Lens 63%
- Draw 21%
- FC Lorient 16%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick RC Lens, rating it at 63.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and RC Lens won 5 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 20.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- RC Lens's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 15 Sep 2026.
RC Lens: DWLLW
FC Lorient: DWLDL
Head-to-head
As of 15 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | RC Lens vs FC Lorient | 0–1 |
| 2026-03-14 | FC Lorient vs RC Lens | 2–1 |
| 2025-11-02 | RC Lens vs FC Lorient | 3–0 |
| 2024-05-03 | RC Lens vs FC Lorient | 2–0 |
| 2023-11-04 | FC Lorient vs RC Lens | 0–0 |
| 2023-05-21 | FC Lorient vs RC Lens | 1–3 |
| 2022-08-31 | RC Lens vs FC Lorient | 5–2 |
| 2022-02-06 | FC Lorient vs RC Lens | 2–0 |
| 2021-08-29 | RC Lens vs FC Lorient | 2–2 |
| 2021-04-11 | RC Lens vs FC Lorient | 4–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win RC Lens vs FC Lorient?
- Tofiko's model favours RC Lens (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does RC Lens vs FC Lorient kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 15:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the RC Lens vs FC Lorient head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.