RC Strasbourg Alsacevs
FC LorientRC Strasbourg Alsace vs FC Lorient Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RC Strasbourg Alsace57%
- RC Strasbourg Alsace 57%
- Draw 26%
- FC Lorient 17%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick RC Strasbourg Alsace, rating it at 56.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and RC Strasbourg Alsace won 1 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. RC Strasbourg Alsace's last 5 produced 28 goals — 5.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. FC Lorient's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- RC Strasbourg Alsace's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
RC Strasbourg Alsace: LLLWW
FC Lorient: WWWLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | FC Lorient vs RC Strasbourg Alsace | 2–3 |
| 2025-12-14 | RC Strasbourg Alsace vs FC Lorient | 0–0 |
| 2024-02-18 | Strasbourg vs FC Lorient | 1–3 |
| 2023-12-17 | FC Lorient vs Strasbourg | 1–2 |
| 2023-06-03 | FC Lorient vs Strasbourg | 2–1 |
| 2022-11-13 | Strasbourg vs FC Lorient | 1–1 |
| 2022-03-20 | FC Lorient vs Strasbourg | 0–0 |
| 2021-10-31 | Strasbourg vs FC Lorient | 4–0 |
| 2021-05-23 | Strasbourg vs FC Lorient | 1–1 |
| 2020-08-23 | FC Lorient vs Strasbourg | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win RC Strasbourg Alsace vs FC Lorient?
- Tofiko's model favours RC Strasbourg Alsace (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does RC Strasbourg Alsace vs FC Lorient kick off?
- Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the RC Strasbourg Alsace vs FC Lorient head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.