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Lille OSC crestLille OSCvsES Troyes AC crestES Troyes AC

Lille OSC vs ES Troyes AC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ligue 1Sun, 13 Sep 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Lille OSC71%

Lille OSC 71%
Draw 21%
ES Troyes AC 9%
  • Lille OSC 71%
  • Draw 21%
  • ES Troyes AC 9%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Lille OSC, rating it at 70.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Lille OSC won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 70.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 20.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Lille OSC: WLWLW

ES Troyes AC: WWWWL

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-06-03ESTAC Troyes vs Lille OSC1–1
2023-01-15Lille OSC vs ESTAC Troyes5–1
2022-05-01ESTAC Troyes vs Lille OSC3–0
2021-12-04Lille OSC vs ESTAC Troyes2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Lille OSC vs ES Troyes AC?
Tofiko's model favours Lille OSC (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Lille OSC vs ES Troyes AC kick off?
Sun, 13 Sep 2026 13:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the Lille OSC vs ES Troyes AC head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

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