Lille OSC vs ES Troyes AC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sun, 13 Sep 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Lille OSC71%
- Lille OSC 71%
- Draw 21%
- ES Troyes AC 9%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Lille OSC, rating it at 70.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Lille OSC won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 70.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Lille OSC: WLWLW
ES Troyes AC: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-03 | ESTAC Troyes vs Lille OSC | 1–1 |
| 2023-01-15 | Lille OSC vs ESTAC Troyes | 5–1 |
| 2022-05-01 | ESTAC Troyes vs Lille OSC | 3–0 |
| 2021-12-04 | Lille OSC vs ESTAC Troyes | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Lille OSC vs ES Troyes AC?
- Tofiko's model favours Lille OSC (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Lille OSC vs ES Troyes AC kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 13:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Lille OSC vs ES Troyes AC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.