Paris Saint-Germain FCvs
Lille OSCParis Saint-Germain FC vs Lille OSC Prediction, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sat, 17 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC61%
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 61%
- Draw 25%
- Lille OSC 14%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 60.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Paris Saint-Germain FC won 3 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 228 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Paris Saint-Germain FC: DDLWD
Lille OSC: DWDWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 228 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 90%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Lille OSC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 2–2 |
| 2026-01-16 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Lille OSC | 3–0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Lille OSC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-01 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Lille OSC | 4–1 |
| 2024-09-01 | Lille OSC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 1–3 |
| 2024-02-10 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Lille OSC | 3–1 |
| 2023-12-17 | Lille OSC vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–1 |
| 2023-02-19 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Lille OSC | 4–3 |
| 2022-08-21 | Lille OSC vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–7 |
| 2022-02-06 | Lille OSC vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–5 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Lille OSC?
- Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Lille OSC kick off?
- Sat, 17 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Lille OSC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.