AS Monaco FCvs
Olympique de MarseilleAS Monaco FC vs Olympique de Marseille Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sun, 30 Aug 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Monaco FC46%
- AS Monaco FC 46%
- Draw 27%
- Olympique de Marseille 27%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Monaco FC, rating it at 45.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and AS Monaco FC won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Monaco FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AS Monaco FC: WDLWL
Olympique de Marseille: WWLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.90Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | AS Monaco FC vs Olympique de Marseille | 2–1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Olympique de Marseille vs AS Monaco FC | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-12 | AS Monaco FC vs Olympique de Marseille | 3–0 |
| 2024-12-01 | Olympique de Marseille vs AS Monaco FC | 2–1 |
| 2024-01-27 | Marseille vs AS Monaco | 2–2 |
| 2023-09-30 | AS Monaco vs Marseille | 3–2 |
| 2023-01-28 | Marseille vs AS Monaco | 1–1 |
| 2022-11-13 | AS Monaco vs Marseille | 2–3 |
| 2022-03-06 | Marseille vs AS Monaco | 0–1 |
| 2021-09-11 | AS Monaco vs Marseille | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AS Monaco FC vs Olympique de Marseille?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Monaco FC (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AS Monaco FC vs Olympique de Marseille kick off?
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026 18:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the AS Monaco FC vs Olympique de Marseille head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.