OGC Nice crestOGC NicevsAJ Auxerre crestAJ Auxerre

OGC Nice vs AJ Auxerre Prediction, H2H & Form

Ligue 1Sat, 20 Feb 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

OGC Nice to win51%

1X2: model backs OGC Nice at 51%.

Tofiko51% / 30% / 20%
  • OGC Nice
  • Draw
  • AJ Auxerre

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

Remind me before kick-off

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • OGC Nice or draw80%
  • Draw or AJ Auxerre49%
  • OGC Nice or AJ Auxerre70%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.543%
  • Under 2.557%

Both teams to score

  • OGC Nice, last 10 home games7 of 10
  • AJ Auxerre, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick OGC Nice, rating it at 50.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 7 times, and OGC Nice won 1 of 7, with 3 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. AJ Auxerre's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. OGC Nice's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • AJ Auxerre's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 130 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

OGC Nice: WWLDL

AJ Auxerre: LWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 130 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 7Games
  • 2.43Avg goals
  • 86%Both scored
  • 43%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice1–0
2026-05-10AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice2–1
2025-08-23OGC Nice vs AJ Auxerre3–1
2025-03-14OGC Nice vs AJ Auxerre1–1
2024-08-18AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice2–1
2023-03-03OGC Nice vs AJ Auxerre1–1
2022-10-16AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win OGC Nice vs AJ Auxerre?
Tofiko's model favours OGC Nice (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does OGC Nice vs AJ Auxerre kick off?
Sat, 20 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the OGC Nice vs AJ Auxerre head-to-head record?
In their last 7 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.43 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legAuxerre 1-0 Nice12 Sept 2026 →