AJ Auxerrevs
OGC NiceAJ Auxerre 1-0 OGC Nice — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sat, 12 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs OGC Nice38%
- AJ Auxerre 37%
- Draw 26%
- OGC Nice 38%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks OGC Nice, rating it at 37.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 7 times, and AJ Auxerre won 3 of 7, with 3 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AJ Auxerre's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. OGC Nice's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 15 Sep 2026.
AJ Auxerre: WLLLW
OGC Nice: LDLDD
Head-to-head
As of 15 Sep 2026.
- 7Games
- 2.43Avg goals
- 86%Both scored
- 43%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice | 1–0 |
| 2026-05-10 | AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-23 | OGC Nice vs AJ Auxerre | 3–1 |
| 2025-03-14 | OGC Nice vs AJ Auxerre | 1–1 |
| 2024-08-18 | AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice | 2–1 |
| 2023-03-03 | OGC Nice vs AJ Auxerre | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-16 | AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice?
- Tofiko's model favours OGC Nice (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice head-to-head record?
- In their last 7 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.43 goals per game.