OGC Nice crestOGC NicevsLe Mans crestLe Mans

OGC Nice 1-1 Le Mans — Result, H2H & Form

Ligue 1Sat, 05 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs OGC Nice54%

Tofiko54% / 20% / 26%
Market55% / 24% / 21%
  • OGC Nice
  • Draw
  • Le Mans

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick OGC Nice, rating it at 53.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and OGC Nice did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Le Mans's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. OGC Nice's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

OGC Nice: WLDLD

Le Mans: WDDLD

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 1Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-05OGC Nice vs Le Mans1–1

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FAQ

Who will win OGC Nice vs Le Mans?
Tofiko's model favours OGC Nice (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does OGC Nice vs Le Mans kick off?
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the OGC Nice vs Le Mans head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureLe Mans vs Nice30 Jan 2027 →