Paris FC crestParis FCvsOlympique de Marseille crestOlympique de Marseille

Paris FC vs Olympique de Marseille Prediction, H2H & Form

Ligue 1Sat, 22 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Olympique de Marseille39%

Tofiko33% / 28% / 39%
  • Paris FC
  • Draw
  • Olympique de Marseille

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

Remind me before kick-off

Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.

More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Paris FC or draw61%
  • Draw or Olympique de Marseille67%
  • Paris FC or Olympique de Marseille72%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.556%
  • Under 2.544%

Both teams to score

  • Paris FC, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • Olympique de Marseille, last 10 away games2 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Olympique de Marseille, rating it at 38.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Paris FC won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 221 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Paris FC: LWDWW

Olympique de Marseille: WLLLL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 221 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 5.33Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-06Olympique de Marseille vs Paris FC2–3
2026-01-31Paris FC vs Olympique de Marseille2–2
2025-08-23Olympique de Marseille vs Paris FC5–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Paris FC vs Olympique de Marseille?
Tofiko's model favours Olympique de Marseille (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Paris FC vs Olympique de Marseille kick off?
Sat, 22 May 2027 15:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the Paris FC vs Olympique de Marseille head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.33 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legMarseille 2-3 Paris FC6 Sept 2026 →