Olympique de Marseillevs
Paris FCOlympique de Marseille 2-3 Paris FC — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sun, 06 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Olympique de Marseille55%
- Olympique de Marseille 55%
- Draw 22%
- Paris FC 23%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Olympique de Marseille, rating it at 54.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Olympique de Marseille won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 15 Sep 2026.
Olympique de Marseille: LLLWL
Paris FC: DWWDL
Head-to-head
As of 15 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 5.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Olympique de Marseille vs Paris FC | 2–3 |
| 2026-01-31 | Paris FC vs Olympique de Marseille | 2–2 |
| 2025-08-23 | Olympique de Marseille vs Paris FC | 5–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Olympique de Marseille vs Paris FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Olympique de Marseille (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Olympique de Marseille vs Paris FC kick off?
- Sun, 06 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Olympique de Marseille vs Paris FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.33 goals per game.