Paris Saint-Germain FCvs
AS Monaco FCParis Saint-Germain FC 1-2 AS Monaco FC — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Fri, 04 Sep 2026 19:05 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC63%
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 63%
- Draw 19%
- AS Monaco FC 17%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 63.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Paris Saint-Germain FC won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 19.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 9 Sep 2026.
Paris Saint-Germain FC: LDDLW
AS Monaco FC: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 9 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs AS Monaco FC | 1–2 |
| 2026-03-06 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs AS Monaco FC | 1–3 |
| 2025-11-29 | AS Monaco FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 1–0 |
| 2025-02-07 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs AS Monaco FC | 4–1 |
| 2024-12-18 | AS Monaco FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 2–4 |
| 2024-03-01 | AS Monaco vs Paris Saint-Germain | 0–0 |
| 2023-11-24 | Paris Saint-Germain vs AS Monaco | 5–2 |
| 2023-02-11 | AS Monaco vs Paris Saint-Germain | 3–1 |
| 2022-08-28 | Paris Saint-Germain vs AS Monaco | 1–1 |
| 2022-03-20 | AS Monaco vs Paris Saint-Germain | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Paris Saint-Germain FC vs AS Monaco FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Paris Saint-Germain FC vs AS Monaco FC kick off?
- Fri, 04 Sep 2026 19:05 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Paris Saint-Germain FC vs AS Monaco FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.