Stade Rennais FCvs
Olympique de MarseilleStade Rennais FC 1-0 Olympique de Marseille — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Fri, 11 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Stade Rennais FC47%
- Stade Rennais FC 47%
- Draw 23%
- Olympique de Marseille 30%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Stade Rennais FC, rating it at 46.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Stade Rennais FC won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 15 Sep 2026.
Stade Rennais FC: WWWDL
Olympique de Marseille: LLLWL
Head-to-head
As of 15 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.40Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Stade Rennais FC vs Olympique de Marseille | 1–0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Olympique de Marseille vs Stade Rennais FC | 3–1 |
| 2025-08-15 | Stade Rennais FC vs Olympique de Marseille | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-17 | Olympique de Marseille vs Stade Rennais FC | 4–2 |
| 2025-01-11 | Stade Rennais FC vs Olympique de Marseille | 1–2 |
| 2024-03-17 | Stade Rennes FC vs Marseille | 2–0 |
| 2023-12-03 | Marseille vs Stade Rennes FC | 2–0 |
| 2023-03-05 | Stade Rennes FC vs Marseille | 0–1 |
| 2022-09-18 | Marseille vs Stade Rennes FC | 1–1 |
| 2022-05-14 | Stade Rennes FC vs Marseille | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Stade Rennais FC vs Olympique de Marseille?
- Tofiko's model favours Stade Rennais FC (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Stade Rennais FC vs Olympique de Marseille kick off?
- Fri, 11 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Stade Rennais FC vs Olympique de Marseille head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.40 goals per game.